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U.S. Jobless Claims Lowest Since January
By Christopher S. Rugaber, AP Economics Writer
Manufacturing.Net - July 09, 2009

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- The number of newly laid-off workers filing initial claims for jobless benefits last week fell to lowest level since early January, largely due to changes in the timing of auto industry layoffs.

Continuing claims, meanwhile, unexpectedly jumped to a record-high. While layoffs are slowing, jobs remain scarce and the unemployment rate is rising, which some economists worry could weaken or delay a recovery. The unemployment rate rose to 9.5 percent last month and is expected to top 10 percent by the end of this year.

Separately, many retail chains reported disappointing June sales, as consumers are saving more and spending less.

New claims for unemployment insurance plummeted by 52,000 to a seasonally-adjusted 565,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. That's significantly below analysts' expectations of 605,000 for the week ending July 4, according to Thomson Reuters. The last time new claims were below 600,000 was week of Jan. 24.

"This is not as positive as it looks," Jennifer Lee, an economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote in a note to clients. "There are a number of special factors at play here, including the fact that the holiday-shortened week skewed the data."

The drop resulted partly from technical factors, a Labor Department analyst said. Auto layoffs that normally take place in early July, as factories are retooled to build the next year's models, occurred in the spring instead as General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC implemented sweeping restructuring plans.

The department's seasonal adjustment process expected a large increase in claims from auto workers and other manufacturing workers, the analyst said. Since that didn't occur, seasonally-adjusted claims fell.

The non-seasonally adjusted figure increased by about 17,000 to 577,506 initial claims.

The retail weakness cut across all sectors but hit mall-based clothing stores particularly hard. Companies also are cutting wages and jobs, limiting Americans' buying power.

Still, the financial markets rose slightly in morning trading. The Dow Jones industrial average added about 20 points, while broader indices also ticked up.

Still, continuing claims jumped 159,000 to 6.88 million, the highest on records dating from 1967. Analysts had expected 6.71 million continuing claims.

Continuing claims had fallen in two of the previous three weeks. The data lag initial claims by a week.

Economists are closely watching the level of first-time claims for signs the economy will recover in the second half of this year, as many predict.

But the change in the timing of auto layoffs will likely muddy the picture for several weeks, the Labor Department analyst said.

The four-week average of initial claims, which smooths out fluctuations, fell to 606,000, down more than 50,000 from its peak in early April.

Still, claims remain elevated: they were at 367,000 a year ago.

Consumers and businesses have cut back on spending in response to the bursting of the housing bubble and the financial crisis, sending the economy into the longest recession since World War II.

The Labor Department said last week that employers cut 467,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate rose to 9.5 percent, the highest in 25 years.

The payroll cuts last month were greater than analysts expected, renewing concern that jobs will remain scarce even if the economy does eke out growth later this year.

Some employers are still shedding jobs. Gannett Co. Inc., which publishes USA Today and 85 other daily newspapers, said last week that it will eliminate about 1,400 jobs, or 3 percent of its work force.

Among the states, New Jersey reported the largest increase in initial claims, with 7,876, which it attributed to seasonal layoffs related to school closings and manufacturing job cuts. The next largest increases were reported by Massachusetts, Kansas, Kentucky and New York. The state data lags initial claims by one week.

Florida reported the largest decrease, with 12,493, which it attributed to fewer layoffs in the construction, manufacturing and agriculture industries. Illinois, Pennsylvania, California and Tennessee reported the next largest drops.


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Enough already, Its time for accountability!  7/9/2009 11:40:00 AM
The longest recession since WWII. Where is the positive impact of all our money that the administration has spent, alleging that if the stimulus bill didn't pass, unemployment could go as high as 8.5%? Its time to take off the mask and reveal the real agenda - which is obviously not economic recovery / prosperity. I think I know what that is. So do you. We need to figure out how to be heard!
U.S. Jobless Claims Lowest Since January  7/9/2009 12:12:00 PM
70,000 bridges deemed unsafe. Only 5% growth in highways since 1980. Weekly news of train accidents. A power grid that fails every time there is even a medium size storm. Japan signing a 12 billion dollar deal with Europe for a new bullet train that uses 30% LESS energy. There are Hyperion reactors that have been used for decades that can't melt down. One can supply 10 to 20 thousand homes with electricity. It's time the stimulus went to rebuilding America. Jobs mean taxes means money. Money spent on American infrastructure is money well spent.
Re: Accountability  7/9/2009 12:24:00 PM
Perhaps the New World Order is upon us? How can we be heard? The first step is to get out and vote in every election, at every level. Washington's "Good Ol' Boy's Club" needs dismantled. Never in the history of this country have our political leaders been so out of touch with society. The bickering and discussions over who is responsible needs to end, Democrat and Republican incumbents need voted out. These politicians have absolutley no concern for the welfare of their constituents. It very well may be to late for all of us. The asbsolution of this country is well under way. Minority's and special interest groups now hold the control. VOTE - VOTE - VOTE for some new ideas, look for the candidate who isn't a millionare, who's father or brother or any other relative hasn't held one of these positions. This is all easier said than done. How do we get back control? Or get ready for the North American Union, complete with a new flag and currency.
Who's Really to Blame?  7/9/2009 1:01:00 PM
I'd say your a bit off in blaming the current administration for causing this recession. I think the failed laze fare policies of the Bush administration in letting big business take care of itself is the real cause of this recession. There was no oversite of the banking industry and the pollicies that eventually caused the banks to fail. Lets not even get into allowing big oil to rape the public while making record profits. How about letting big business send all of our middle class jobs to China, India, and Argentina? Without a middle class, who exactly is supposed to buy these goods to keep the economy going? On top of this, how much money have we wasted in a useless war in Iraq which probably has done more to promote terrorism than curtail it? Trillions??? I think it's too early to really know what the stimulus package has done. Maybe without it the unemployment rate would be 10.5% now. I don't know. I do know that the money is being used to construct a few things that otherwise would not be getting done. Those people building these roads and bridges are all employed who otherwise would not be. They spend money that employs other people. I'd guess that the money is doing some short term good. My concern is the long term debt we are accumulating as a result of the stimulus package. Again, compared to the money wasted in Iraq for nothing of substance, it's pretty small. I think we need to give the economy some time to heal and maybe start holding big business a bit more accountable for what really caused this recession. Major corporations pushing their workforces overseas while collecting outrageous bonuses. That's the true problem here and what is really driving our economy into recession. Maybe we should start arresting the people responsible for sending all our jobs overseas for treason and expose them as the traitors they are.
Accountability - throw the bums out   7/9/2009 1:03:00 PM
Couldn't agree more. It is time we changed Washington by getting rid of ALL of the incumbants! Republican, Democrate or independent. NONE OF THEM ARE DOING THE JOB. Nothing has changed in Washington except the name of the door at 16oo Penn Ave. Pork barrel spending makes politicans rich at the expense of the public. We need to get the private sector stimulated not the poiliticans. Vote out EVERY incumbant in the next election. None of them are doing there job. THROW THE BUMS OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11
Re:Re:Accountability  7/9/2009 1:33:00 PM
I have no problem with a self made millionaire. Look at Obama. From food stamps to the White House. He made his couple of million the old fashioned way. He earned it. I can understand the frustration, but just "vote everyone out" is over the top. The "special interest" groups will still be there. When you have one party that wants the president to fail, you can't blame it on both parties. Minorities working together make the majority. We need an educated president. We have one. Now, we need to have our voices heard. How many times have you written your senator? Just asking.
shortest week = lowest week  7/9/2009 1:34:00 PM
Gee, last week had a holiday on Friday, unemployment offices were closed and some people went on vacation. As I recall the same headlines were trumpeted after Memorial Day. Grasping at straws AP? Unfortunately this means that the following week will likely be worse, but will that be trumpeted by the press? BTW, you conspiracy theory guys are more scary than what's happening in Washington. It's a credit/debt orgy induced balance sheet recession/depression that will last until overpriced assets return to reality and people/companies actually save more than they borrow. It's just that simple.
Re: Accountability  7/9/2009 2:32:00 PM
Well, a couple of you got the point, but I guess the rest of you will follow the first Lemming off the cliff. I did not blame BO for our current state of drowning as a country. The millionaire comment was also aimed at getting people in office who have dealt with the problems of the common citizens. Does BO fit that definition? I'm sure all you Dem's think he fit's the bill, I'm not convinced. As for being a conspiracy theory guy, well, once again I hope I am wrong on that one also. If any of you get a chance you should read the small handbook "The New World Order". The author eludes me at this time, and it was only written in the 70's, but it seems to be a fairly accurate time line to where we are now. If voting everyone out of Washington seems over the top then so be it. The special interest groups are only dug into the current political system(don't read Dem's or Rep's ) because these guys have been there for so long. We can debate the issue forever and never agree. But when China calls in our debt we will lose our identity as the greatest country in the world.
Re:Re:Accountability  7/9/2009 4:35:00 PM
But when China calls in our debt we will lose our identity as the greatest country in the world. They can't really "call it in". They can only refuse to lend more money. To me, the problem is that our culture needs to shift away from "stupid is good". Minority students who get "A" grades are being beaten up for being too "white". Our best and brightest are called geeks and nerds. We have lost our scientific and technological edge. The right wants to replace science in our schools with "mysticism". Everyone screams for science to help lead us out of our energy dependence, but no one wants to fund education. Some people believe you can "McGiver" a nuclear power plant with a couple of glow in the dark watches, a can of hair spray, a scientist, an engineer and a couple of laborors. I mean, "How hard can it be"?
new jobless claims falling  7/9/2009 4:39:00 PM
This is statistical silliness. Its a geometric decline that may be asymptotically approaching zero (no jobs). Simpler explanation: fewer jobs, fewer layoffs.
Fewer jobs, fewer layoffs.  7/9/2009 5:11:00 PM
Absolutly. Moving jobs overseas is also a problem. I work for a company that has sent many manufacturing jobs to China because they can pay so much less to Chinese workers. The problem is that the Chinese can't afford to buy the products because they don't make enough and people out of work here can't afford to buy the product because they are out of work. Add the problems with rust and quality, and, well, why did we move to China again?
@ Who's Really to Blame?  7/11/2009 12:35:00 AM
Hmm, no oversight of the banking industry you say? There was plenty of oversight of the banking industry back in the early 1990's when the Clinton administration and Democrat Congress managed to force the banks into underwriting subprime mortgages to people that couldn't or wouldn't pay the loans back. Good grief, the Democrats were crowing about their 'oversight' back in 1995. They were patting themselves on the back saying that they [Democrats] succeeded in getting more people into housing than ever before! It just took a while for the fuse to burn down, which it did a few years ago. Had the Democrats left banking to those in the banking industry, this problem would never have occurred. As for allowing 'big oil' to rape the United States, the price of oil didn't skyrocket to over $4/gallon at the pumps until after the Democrats took control of Congress about two years ago. Earlier still, the Democrats have imposed a moratorium on drilling for oil in the United States during the Carter years. America slumped from provided 2/3 of its own oil to only 1/3 now and that number continues to drop even further. I'm sure that Obama's humble bow to his master King Abdula cemented an even further decline yet to come. As for sending so many of our jobs to China, I agree that we shouldn't be sending so many of our jobs overseas. But, I recall Clinton aggressively pursuing support of the WTO (World Trade Organization) so all of that cheap labor can be properly exploited. Wasted all of that money on a useless war in Iraq? Even Clinton recognized the threat that Saddam Hussein posed. So much so that Clinton pushed through the 'Iraqii Freedom Act' giving Clinton the authority to go to war against Saddam Hussein. The difference is that Clinton didn't have the guts to actually complete the job once the act was approved by Congress. I laughed when you spoke about spending 'trillions' of dollars on Iraq. Obama and the Democrat Congress have succeeded in spending more money in the past few months than ALL of the previous administrations COMBINED! Bernard Goldberg was quite correct when he said that it is physically impossible to outspend Democrats! Obama promised that unemployment would never exceed 8% once that pork-ladened bill passed. We are now at 9.5% unemployment and climbing. My employer recently laid off nearly 100 employees, however due to severance packages, those numbers won't appear on the unemployment figures for several months. NO government can ever spend its way out of a recession. Japan failed several times and so did Europe. Reports from the Government Accounting Office (GAO) have already shown that the 'stimulus' money is not improving anything. As far as arresting those responsible for pushing our jobs overseas, I suppose we can begin with Clinton and his support of WTO. I believe that it would be better policy though to reward those keeping jobs in the United States with lower taxes. We need to make absolutely sure that the Cap & Trade tax NEVER gets passed! On a positive note, it appears that the Senate will block passage of that monster.


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