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China Leads In Carbon Pollution
By Seth Borenstein, AP Science Writer
Manufacturing.Net - November 17, 2009

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- Pollution typically declines during a recession. Not this time.

Despite a global economic slump, worldwide carbon dioxide pollution jumped 2 percent last year, most of the increase coming from China, according to a study published online Tuesday.

"The growth in emissions since 2000 is almost entirely driven by the growth in China," said study lead author Corinne Le Quere of the University of East Anglia. "It's China and India and all the developing countries together."

Carbon dioxide emissions, the chief man-made greenhouse gas, come from the burning of coal, oil, natural gas, and also from the production of cement, which is a significant pollution factor in China. Worldwide emissions rose 671 million more tons from 2007 to 2008. Nearly three-quarters of that increase came from China.

The numbers are from the U.S. Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory and published in the journal Nature Geoscience.

According to the study, the 2008 emissions increase was smaller than normal for this decade. Annual global pollution growth has averaged 3.6 percent. This year, scientists are forecasting a nearly 3 percent reduction, despite China because of the massive economic slowdown in most of the world and in the United States.

The U.S. is still the biggest per capita major producer of man-made greenhouse gases, spewing about 20 tons of carbon dioxide per person per year. The world average is 5.3 tons and China is at 5.8 tons

Last year, the U.S. emissions fell by 3 percent, a reduction of nearly 192 million tons of carbon dioxide. Overall European Union emissions dropped by 1 percent. The U.S. is still the No. 2 biggest carbon polluter overall, emitting more than the next four largest polluting countries combined: India, Russia, Japan and Germany. China has been No. 1, since pushing past the United States in 2006.

The world remains on a dangerous path, despite the recession, scientists said.

"There's a very clear gap between the path we are on and the path we should be on if the goal is to limit global warming to 2 degrees (1.3 degrees Celsius)," said Le Quere, who also works for the British Antarctic Survey.

The world has spewed 715.3 trillion tons of industrial carbon dioxide since 1982, which is the same amount civilization produced in all the previous years, said study co-author Gregg Marland of the Oak Ridge National Lab.

Outside scientists said the study was thorough and the results sobering.

"Basically these numbers are screaming out at decision makers that whatever they are doing now is not working," said University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver, who wasn't involved in the study.

The report comes as countries from around the world prepare for a December U.N. conference on reducing carbon emissions. Prime Minister Lars Loekke Rasmussen of Denmark, who will host the conference in Copenhagen, said Tuesday that President Barack Obama supported his proposal for a sweeping political deal that would include commitments by industrial countries to reduce carbon emissions and to provide funds for less developed countries to fight the effects of global warming.

Obama, who was in China, said after a meeting with President Hu Jintao Tuesday that he wanted an all-encompassing agreement in Copenhagen, even if it falls short of a legal treaty. And he said he wants something "that has immediate operational effect."

Le Quere said the numbers point specifically to developing world as the cause for the most recent growth.

China is opening up new coal-fired power plants at a breakneck pace and carbon dioxide emissions in that country have doubled since 2001.

Not all the emission increases in China and other developing countries come from new power plants. About one-quarter of the emissions growth is because western countries, like the United States, buy more manufactured products from those countries, Le Quere and Marland said.

"We're shipping our emissions offshore," Marland said.

Other countries beside China to increase their carbon dioxide emissions by more than 5 million tons in 2008 were India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, South Africa, South Korea, Indonesia, Iran, Poland, Mexico, Canada and the Netherlands.

The paper also raised concerns because it shows that the percentage of carbon dioxide emissions that hang in the air -- compared to those sucked into the oceans and forests -- is growing.

Fifty years ago, only 40 percent of carbon dioxide emissions stayed in the air. Now in this decade it's up to 45 percent, Le Quere said.

That steady rise is alarming because the more carbon dioxide in the air, the warmer it gets, and the warmer it gets, the higher percentage of carbon dioxide stays in the air, Le Quere said.

It's a feedback loop that is not good news for global warming, she said.


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What happened?  11/17/2009 4:22:00 PM
What happened? I thought China was leading the way in reducing Global Warming". I guess they have to make it worse before they make it better.
#1 in that too!!  11/17/2009 4:23:00 PM
I think we outta keep sending more jobs over there. Maybe they can double their pollution output in the next 5 years.
the real number says:  11/17/2009 4:26:00 PM
Okay, read the article in details and it reveals that U.S. emits 20 tons of CO2 per person per year. China emits 5.8 tons per person and world average is 5.3 tons per person per year. What is there to say? That is with all the outsourcing that we are already doing.
Do you think we were born yesterday?  11/17/2009 4:29:00 PM
This article is propaganda & Rubbish. Carbon emissions have increased while temperatures have actually been decreasing the last several years. This article is written as if there is a scientific consensus; there isn't. Al Gore's myth is falling apart.
And this is why...  11/17/2009 4:29:00 PM
Cap-and-Tax is such a joke. For the purposes of Cap-and-Tax, China is considered a "developing nation" and is therefore exempt from carbon caps. American families will pay between $2K and $3K per year in new "fees" (taxes) on all sorts of products including energy to heat their homes. Follow the money on this one. One of the many paths that the money will take is into Al Gore's back pocket - you can be sure that many other paths will lead into Democrat back pockets. Obama is the MOST CORRUPT President in this country's history - period.
Yeah, make the Chinese pay  11/17/2009 4:39:00 PM
China and India are producing most of our goods, so of course, they are going to produce more carbon dioxide. If we make them cap and trade their carbon, they are going to raise the price of their goods to cover the extra cost. It is the Americans who will pay in the end.
What Should the Temperature Be?  11/17/2009 4:42:00 PM
Buried in this article is a distressed cry from a climate scientist that we can't possibly limit the increase in global average temperature to 2 deg C if the current trends in CO2 emissions continue. That raises a question - can the climate scientists who believe in global warming tell us what the optimum global average temperature is for the Earth? Based on their behavior, it would seem the consensus position is that the ideal global temperature is lower than what we have today, but I haven't seen any reasoned arguments in support of what that contention. And lacking those arguments, setting government policies which will force the world's economies to jump through hoops to limit the global temperature rise to 2 deg C seems pretty arbitrary. If these scientists are so sure of everything else regarding global warming, shouldn't they be able to define the global temperature which provides their climate nirvana?
Kyoto Protocol ??   11/17/2009 4:43:00 PM
Blah blah blah Bush sucks this and that - but he was right for not agreeing to the Kyoto Accord.
AH HAHAHAH!! Nooo...really??!!!  11/17/2009 4:45:00 PM
BIG Kudos to the writers for this one, despite the looks of my subject line. It is directed towards the rest of the world opinion, and I THANK YOU for writing this article!! "The growth in emissions since 2000 is almost entirely driven by the growth in China..." China has been doing nothing but crying about the rest of the world, USA and the EU primarily, starting to levy a tiny measure of control on their oppressive economic policies. In the meantime, they are actively raping the rest of the world's economy and resources- a method re-evaluated following the industrial revolution due to its severe negative environmental impact. How the rest of the world continues to allow them to get away with this is completely out of my understanding. Hopefully, in the wake of yet another half-hearted global "green effort", China will start taking a closer look at how they do things; or, at least, the rest of the world will. The article states 2%, but I find that hard to believe an accurate figure. Data from satellite imaging shows a fifteen-fold increase in light pollution in China alone. Coal has become so important to China that Clinton was paid off to create a National Forest out of one of our country's largest coal reserves. (Look it up.) The resources and supplied imported into China indicate that their power consumption has gone through the roof in under ten years. They displaced ten million citizens in support of a hydroelectric plant- and they weren't from metropolitan areas, but from suburbs and small villages. The Three Gorges hydroelectric plant alone will very soon supply 22,500 MEGAWATTS of power to China. (Using water for power = good, yes. The point is the leap in consumption that requires such a huge increase in power.) Besides, I'd bet Love Canal did not have a carbon footprint that was very large- it just wasn't discovered until remarkable irreversible damage was done. We need to prevent China's recklessness- with quality, with intellectual property, with economic warfare, and with the environment. If we start by looking at the latter, so be it. At least more people are aware now.
Where's the United Nations now??  11/17/2009 4:46:00 PM
What is the United Nations going to do about this????? Gosh!!??? NOTHING!!!
What Global Warming?  11/17/2009 11:17:00 PM
After the (former) NASA chief climate scientist was found perverting the climate models (by tweaking the various fudge factors inevitable in such models in such a way as to support extreme global warming predictions) and the dendrochronology data frequently referenced by anti-carbon cheerleaders was found to be based on cherry picked data (seven trees out of 220 samples? Oh, the seven that best fit what we wanted to predict...) one has to seriously doubt the scientific basis for the global warming hoopla. In the end though, if every country is not on board then it is pointless to penalize anyone for CO2 emissions. BRIC claims that since everyone else spewed CO2 for centuries, now it is the turn of the BRICs is only valid if the BRICs give up any advances bought with that CO2 (such as antibiotics, computers, airplanes, ICEs, ...). The reality is that the game is one of politico-economic backstabbing, not altruistic save the planet warm (cold?) fuzzies, with so called scientists pimping for grants (scientists need to eat too!), and bureaucrats salivating about empires to be built, is it any wonder that taxpayers generally refuse to support having a lower standard of living in exchange for the fantasy of reduced global warming?
Carbon Pollution  11/18/2009 7:41:00 AM
You mean Olympic athletes not attending the Summer Games due to pollution wasn't a clue ?
Per-Capita  11/18/2009 8:45:00 AM
When you consider that 80% of China is still not far removed from a localized farming economy the numbers are actually much worse. Comparisons of this type are invidious and misleading.
Control CO2, Control world production  11/18/2009 9:28:00 AM
From the article: The world has spewed 715.3 trillion tons of industrial carbon dioxide since 1982, which is the same amount civilization produced in all the previous years, said study co-author Gregg Marland of the Oak Ridge National Lab. Ok. Obama has spent more in his first year as President than was spent since the United States was founded, do the people that have a problem with the CO2 have a problem with that? We will have to GREATLY increase our CO2 output to pay for Obama! Industry emits CO2 to do ANYTHING, exactly why the world elite want to control it. Control CO2, control ALL production!


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